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there is a growing expectation in the it industry that there should be a standardization in the marketplace, and that a few vendors should dominate a few areas of focus so that competition will not destroy the end result. so, there may be some consolidation of vendors and some standards in the marketplaces, with some areas dominating others. in most cases, this will not be a significant problem because software is readily available for every platform and every purpose. users, particularly in india, are happy to change their technology if there is a compelling reason to do so. their flexibility goes both ways. so, in general, there will be an expanding market for it services even as an always expanding market for technology products. but, sometimes, where the users are wired, they are limited to working with the technology that is at hand. we will see more creation of services, but many of these will only be useful as services. and, while some technologies will have a longer staying power, many new technologies will only appear for a short time before other technologies overtake them. in general, there will be more users and more revenue; but, demand will not necessarily correspond with supply, particularly as fewer developers will apply their skills to bring forth the next wave of technologies. the technology industry will continue to improve and even accelerate innovation, but not everyone will be able to benefit from it, largely due to the limited adoption of end-user technology
many people think of the web as synonymous with the internet. but i d rather think of it as a frayed rope extending from an island of people and ideas, and the internet is the sea itself, the waves, the winds, and the weather of the web, rippling out to the people and ideas.
google mobile will be the real battleground because apple does not have a world-class, integrated technology that allows developers to build for the mac and the iphone. google has a record of integrating and building services across a wide variety of platforms. thats what the play is all about. thats why all of these apps are built for the web. it isnt just a battle for smartphone dominance. its a battle for phones of any type. its a battle for all mobile platforms. thats the kind of vision that has to be understood by global investors.
to be sure, theres no question many mobile platforms in the marketplace will fail or significantly underperform, including, notably, windows phone 7. in fact, microsoft probably would agree. even google realizes this, and its made clear it wants to expand its android platform into non-phone devices. at the heart of the strategy is giving consumers what they want. thats what web 2.0 is all about. consumers can interact with each other directly in a spontaneous manner with the functionality built directly into their mobile devices through web-connected applications and services. this phenomenon of web 2.0 is what i mean by the cloud. it started with my own web 2.0 strategy with google a decade ago. its coming back full circle now. mobile devices have taken us down this path of the cloud. its a natural consequence of the web 2.0 phenomenon. straying from the cloud is a minefield. just ask the people who were forced out of google+. i was one of them. youre all forced out of google+. thats the negative here.
the web is becoming a copy-cat environment, where consumers have the option of making their own experience based on the services they want. that choice isnt even there in the app space, where users have to get with what comes pre-installed. nobody installs apps. the wall street journal is exploring an app platform that would deliver “a free, ad-supported newspaper for people who are short on time and have no interest in ad-supported news. under the agreement, the wall street journal would give a free preview of the app to zdnet. the journal would also pay google to host the app on google play and distribute the app on the google play store, according to the journal. however, not everyone loves this model. eric phillips, vice president, partner strategy, the wall street journal company; based in new york, new york
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